Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 10.286191 11.382828 12.559730 13.918789 15.447522 17.116886 19.081780
2025-09-28 8.471755 9.963176 11.677943 13.804008 16.381186 19.418971 23.292747
2025-10-05 7.470193 9.249655 11.419482 14.280850 17.985666 22.662306 29.078763
2025-10-12 6.692765 8.659432 11.181790 14.691717 19.508985 25.975550 35.461009
2025-10-19 5.971445 8.020888 10.765694 14.767491 20.548333 28.745027 41.517273
2025-10-26 5.333300 7.399225 10.272124 14.635719 21.232264 31.056990 47.232479
2025-11-02 4.794115 6.843527 9.789959 14.432096 21.743637 33.133066 52.863637
2025-11-09 4.334209 6.346485 9.327195 14.181363 22.118429 35.004071 58.411090
2025-11-16 3.961656 5.937724 8.946241 13.998249 22.552689 36.992451 64.435857
2025-11-23 3.663122 5.610802 8.653198 13.911834 23.116635 39.244901 71.268746
2025-11-30 3.485444 5.455362 8.612466 14.230377 24.400696 42.913978 81.374994
2025-12-07 3.246610 5.177617 8.342140 14.118332 24.889954 45.173931 89.059963
2025-12-14 2.993513 4.860078 7.984986 13.830334 25.048852 46.885615 96.061716
2025-12-21 2.795880 4.620037 7.739199 13.717969 25.528178 49.298761 105.062072
2025-12-28 2.707757 4.561409 7.805204 14.192281 27.218890 54.436711 121.301883
2026-01-04 2.616102 4.487971 7.836341 14.600704 28.827353 59.649697 138.871911
2026-01-11 2.486874 4.335455 7.707127 14.676183 29.743142 63.473666 153.826749
2026-01-18 2.343120 4.144526 7.488470 14.545458 30.192145 66.293922 166.784457
2026-01-25 2.203635 3.950855 7.247968 14.343324 30.454077 68.708284 179.183607
2026-02-01 2.070897 3.760224 6.997716 14.094372 30.576221 70.798278 191.149142
2026-02-08 1.956473 3.596792 6.788358 13.912550 30.832608 73.266291 204.839095
2026-02-15 1.861014 3.463794 6.629814 13.826744 31.308909 76.381291 221.316364
2026-02-22 1.811819 3.419261 6.648936 14.143074 32.819026 82.515922 249.178606